Forecast Update

February 16, 2026 · Opal Overlay Pipeline · CRM as of Feb 17
Note: Some deal details (particularly Federated Hermes, Dell) may not be fully current — Conor does not have access to all meetings on those accounts. Treat those sections as directionally accurate, not exhaustive.
Floor Call
$760K
267% to target
Commit Call
$1.2M
422% to target
Best Case Call
$1.7M
598% to target
CRM Commit
$609K
3 deals
CRM Most Likely
$665K
5 deals (4 Dan)
CRM Best Case
$241K
3 deals (1 Dan)
Total Pipeline
$1.52M
12 deals

Executive Bridge Status

NiCE[UPDATED] CMO Michelle now directly driving evaluation — expanded scope to full Optimizely suite. EB path: Dor → Michelle (CMO) → Arun (COO) → Scott (CEO). CEO-to-CEO connection via SAP. Kevin Li (SVP Product Strategy) introduced to Dor. Michelle may attend next demo directly.
Travelers — CMO meeting scheduled next week. Deb Brines (senior) attended Feb 12. Jen engaging Andrew Jaworski (VP) via Patrick West to accelerate vendor approval. Dave owns budget path but has interpersonal friction.
Zoom — Clear exec connections to Vi (EB) and Kim (CMO) through multiple ELT members. Alex or Shaf planning to join March readout to Vi and Kim. Pragya coaching positioning. Lenny demand signal adds second exec thread.
Federated Hermes — EB identified: Jack Smith (CIO), budget cap $125K. Dan (marketing) champions, Meg moves paperwork. Risk: Frank Amato (AI governance) could inject himself. *May not be fully current — limited meeting access.
Dell — Exec engagement exists through Jacob and Matt, who are running the CMS deal. Opal overlay exec bridge is indirect/dependent on CMS team. *May not be fully current — limited meeting access.
Salesforce — EB likely Barry Cusumano. Exact exec connections up to the CMO. Team has created an exec readout that is very promising for a notable purchase. Scheduling for the week after next due to vacations.
Logitech — Deepa (VP) identified as economic buyer. Champion behavior confirmed. Pricing flex authority sits with her. *Primary deal team on experimentation opp may have additional context.
Arrivia — Ganesh (CPTO) and Forrest (decision maker) identified. Caleb copying Ganesh to apply pressure. Neither on recent calls.
Deal Stage Value Close Category Exec Bridge
Travelers Proposal $309K ↑$500K Mar 27 Commit ● CMO mtg next wk
Zoom Proposal $250K Mar 31 Most Likely ● Alex/Shaf in Mar
NiCE POV $230K ↑suite Mar–Apr Most Likely ● CMO engaged
Dell Proposal $200K Mar 27 Commit ● Via CMS team
Federated Hermes Proposal $100K Mar 6 Commit ● EB identified
BECU POV $90K Mar 27 Best Case Dan
Logitech POV $81K Mar 27 Best Case ● Deepa (VP) — EB confirmed
Rocket Contracts $78K Feb 27 Most Likely Dan
Enverus Proposal $75K Feb 27 Most Likely Dan
Arrivia POV $70K ($175K full) Mar 31 Best Case ● Pressure applied
VF Corporation Proposal $32K Mar 13 Most Likely Dan
Salesforce POC TBD Mar (shifted) Pipeline ● To CMO
Commit — $609K
Travelers Opal 2026
Commit Proposal $309K (upside $500K) · Close: Mar 27
Delta since last FC
Moved Discovery → Proposal. Workshop debrief (Feb 12, 13 attendees) — 6 use cases prioritized from 21. New pricing model: hybrid platform fee + reduced credits with T-shirt caps. Dave endorsed bottom-up ROI. Feb 13 sync with Jen: three blockers identified before pricing can go out: (1) FDE classification, (2) integration assumptions, (3) use case prioritization. Vendor approval is top risk — Dave says 1+ month, zero visibility into approvers. Deb Brines (senior) attended Feb 12 = buying signal. Betsey & Dave collaborating better.
Path to Close / Contracts
Resolve 3 blockers (FDE, integrations, use cases) → present pricing → ROI finalized → vendor approval (1+ month, opaque) → architecture review → procurement → contract. Jen engaging Andrew Jaworski (VP, Dave's boss) via Patrick West to accelerate vendor approval.
EB: Dave Morgan (budget via arch review). Deb Brines attended. Andrew Jaworski (VP) → Andreas Wetterwald (SVP CIO).
Champ: Betsey — growing, excited. Dave — strong but demanding, interpersonal friction internally.
Paper: FDE classification critical — if IT Services, triggers separate SOW. Conor resolving via Suzanne.
Compete: Dan Matthews (Expert Services) fixing Workfront preview — internal competing solution.
Risks
Next Steps This Week
  1. ROI working session with Mark, Dave, Betsey — Feb 19, 3:30 PM ET — Conor
  2. Clarify FDE classification (services vs. Advanced) with Suzanne — Conor
  3. Andrew Jaworski intro for vendor approval acceleration via Patrick West — Jen
Ask: (1) FDE classification from Suzanne — deal-shaping. (2) Credit rollover policy — deal-blocker per Dave.
Dell Opal 2026
Commit Proposal $200K · Close: Mar 27
Delta since last FC
No movement Stage updated Discovery → Proposal in CRM, but no client contact in 34 days. Only activity was internal handoff from Cuneyt Jan 14. Matt was to email Evan introducing Conor and propose NYC onsite — unconfirmed if it happened. Credit usage dropped post-December workshops.
Path to Close / Contracts
Confirm Matt's intro went out → NYC onsite with Evan + Lauren's Opal team → define POC use cases (content operations) → POC execution → Ryan approves → Liana/Liz for budget. No forward motion without intro confirmation.
EB: Liana (CMS/martech), Ryan Schaaf (AI budget), Liz Matthews/Jerry Tunnel (CMO) for larger investment.
Champ: Evan Greenbaum — responsive when engaged, 34 days dark.
Metrics: 10% YoY marketing spend reduction (CMO mandate). Adobe Gen Studio failed 6-month POC.
Compete: Jasper (incumbent, paying), NA10/Nateen, Adobe Gen Studio (failed).
Risks
Next Steps This Week
  1. Confirm Matt's intro email status — Conor
  2. If not sent: send intro directly + propose NYC onsite — Conor + Matt
Ask: Need Matt Emerson Payne confirmation. If intro didn't happen, deal is effectively dead.
Federated Hermes 2026
Commit New to FC Proposal $100K · Close: Mar 6
Delta since last FC
New to forecast. Internal alignment (Feb 17) with Optimizely + Valtech. $100K budget approved, paperwork targeting March 7 signature. Deal quoted on legacy credit model — packaging mismatch: workflow agents require Advanced tier (exceeds $100K), needs offline resolution this week. Valtech has 2.5-year relationship; Jared Wooden to ride along on FDE onboarding. Use case workshop with Meg's team Thursday Feb 19.
Path to Close / Contracts
Resolve packaging (legacy credits → Advanced tier) this week → Jared's use case workshop Thu Feb 19 → Meg moves paperwork through approvals → Dan champions → Jack Smith (CIO) final sign-off. Avoid triggering Frank Amato (AI governance). Budget cap $125K before board required.
EB: Jack Smith (CIO). Budget cap ~$125K. Very cost-conscious.
Champ: Dan (marketing, "got giddy" at demo). Meg (moves paperwork, open to workshops).
Paper: In flight. Legacy quote needs translation to new tiers. March 7 target.
Compete: MS Copilot (low adoption, ~20 users). RWS (broken). Crawford (expensive).
Use Cases (Prioritized)
  1. Pre-flight compliance checks
  2. Disclosure/disclaimer automation
  3. Compliance delta identification
  4. PDF compilation for FINRA (manual today — quick win)
  5. Translation (replace RWS — cost savings)
Risks
Next Steps This Week
  1. Resolve packaging: old credits → new tiers, FDE inclusion — Conor + Krista
  2. Use case workshop with Meg's team — Jared Wooden, Thursday Feb 19
  3. Technical deep-dive on CMS 12 custom tools — James + Jared + Conor
  4. Share Opal packaging one-pager with Valtech — Conor
Ask: Packaging resolution is critical path. Need Conor + Krista offline decision this week.
Most Likely — $665K
Zoom Opal 2026
Most Likely Proposal $250K · Close: Mar 31
Delta since last FC
Major movement. 3-hour onsite at Zoom HQ (Feb 10), 6 attendees, highly engaged. David Tice surfaced content approval bottleneck as primary pain. Lenny (chief officer) asked about content audit — exec demand signal. Post-workshop debrief (Feb 11): $250K bundle proposed (Opal + Web Exp + Premium Support). Pragya receptive, won't commit on price. Menu A/B/C requested. FDE assignment needed. Vi presentation targeted early March.
Path to Close / Contracts
Deliver menu A/B/C pricing → assign FDE → pilot completion by end of Feb (credits expire) → executive summary assembly → dedicated Vi meeting early March → budget approval. Pragya coaching positioning for Vi.
EB: Vi — needs pilot data + case studies. Lenny adds second exec thread.
Champ: Pragya Singh — strong. Planning internal strategy, coaching on Vi positioning.
Metrics: SEO tool consolidation (6+ tools), 17K pages unaudited, $250K bundle anchored.
Compete: Incumbent SEO tools (Lumar, AHREF, Screaming Frog, etc.). Consolidation play.
Risks
Next Steps This Week
  1. Deliver menu A/B/C pricing — Conor
  2. FDE assignment + intro to Zoom — Conor + James
  3. Forward Mark Wakelin data requirements to Pragya — Conor
Ask: FDE assignment this week — pilot timeline is tight.
NiCE Opal 2026
Most Likely POV $230K ↑ full suite upside · Close: Mar–Apr
Delta since last FC — MAJOR UPDATE (Feb 17 call)
CMO Michelle expanded evaluation from Opal-only ($230K) to full Optimizely suite (CMS, experimentation, CMP, DAM). She wants a 2-3 year platform consolidation vision, not a point AI solution. Writer, Jasper, Copy.ai being put on hold or eliminated — Dor: “I’m deeper evaluating Optimizely and putting the rest on hold.” Adobe is now the primary competitor (full suite, owns Marketo). NiCE current stack: WordPress (CMS), AB Tasty (A/B testing), Monday.com (PM, just signed), Marketo + Salesforce (staying). Everything else is fair game. Timeline shifted — Dor says end of March / end of April is fine. Kevin Li (SVP Product Strategy) introduced and positioned for full platform conversation. Nikhin (MarTech) joined call — needs full portfolio understanding. Dor wants to bring Michelle directly to a subsequent demo.
Path to Close / Contracts
1-hour full suite discovery with Nikhin (this week) → DAM deep-dive session → demo with CMO Michelle directly → Nikhin validates what Optimizely replaces + quantifies savings → Michelle presents to Scott (CEO) for broader investment. Opal can still close standalone for 2026 while setting up full suite for 2027+. EB path: Dor → Michelle (CMO, <1yr at NiCE, based in DC) → Arun (COO) → Scott (CEO). In-person DC demo possible (VP of CMS Product is DC-based).
EB: Michelle (CMO) now directly engaged — driving expansion. <1yr at NiCE, building 3-4yr vision. DC-based.
Champ: Dor — strongest yet. Putting competitors on hold, managing CMO relationship, offering to bring Michelle to demo.
Metrics: $230K Opal standalone. Full suite upside significant (replace WordPress, AB Tasty, Monday.com). Nikhin to quantify savings.
Compete: Adobe (full suite, owns Marketo). Writer/Jasper/Copy.ai on hold. Writer liked but most expensive.
Risks
Next Steps This Week
  1. Schedule 1-hour full suite discovery with Nikhin + Dor — Conor + Matt (ASAP)
  2. Schedule dedicated DAM deep-dive — Conor
  3. Bring value consultant (Mark Wakelin) to discovery for ROI modeling — Conor
  4. Prepare full Optimizely One overview with pricing ranges — Conor + Matt + Kevin
  5. Internal alignment on standalone Opal vs. bundled suite pricing strategy — Conor + Matt
Ask: Internal pricing strategy needed — how to position Opal standalone close for 2026 while framing full suite for 2027+. This is an upsell opportunity, not a delay risk, if managed correctly.
Rocket Opal Contracts $78K · Feb 27
Dan owns FC update
Enverus Opal Proposal $75K · Feb 27
Dan owns FC update
VF Corporation Opal Proposal $32K · Mar 13
Dan owns FC update
Best Case — $241K
Logitech Opal 2026
Best Case New to FC POV $81K · Close: Mar 27
Delta since last FC
New to forecast. Feb 12 onsite — Opal + POC results + value consulting with Deepa. POC validated (no flicker, variant persistence, multi-locale, AEM integration). Value: $6.86M Y1 / $26.74M 3Y. Feb 13 sync: Logitech runs Svelte (SPA) — Node.js SDK bundles directly, sub-ms decisions. Warehouse-native CDP replacement resonated strongly with Deepa: “Get rid of Salesforce CDP?” Bucketing persistence issue from POC still unresolved — SE mishandled, Conor taking over.
Path to Close / Contracts
Resolve bucketing persistence (15-30 min fix) → answer Deepa's SDK perf question → position CDP replacement narrative → AI Approval process (status unknown) → align with Deepa (VP/EB) on pricing & timeline → vendor selection → pilot completion Apr 1.
EB: Not confirmed. Deepa is Director. VP mentioned for pricing flex but not named.
Champ: Deepa Shekhar — "feeling pretty good" post-onsite. Showing champion behavior.
Metrics: $6.86M Y1 / $26.74M 3Y. $119M digital revenue in scope. Performance paramount.
Compete: LaunchDarkly, Statsig, Adobe Target (failed — bad tests hurt revenue).
Risks
Next Steps This Week
  1. Loop in technical expert for bucketing fix — Conor
  2. Send warehouse-native audience sync one-pager — Conor
  3. Answer Deepa's SDK architecture question — Conor
Ask: Bucketing persistence = 15-30 min fix blocked by SE dynamics. Conor taking ownership.
Arrivia Opal 2026
Best Case POV $70K ($175K full deal) · Close: Mar 31
Delta since last FC
Feb 17 sync: deal "getting dicey" for Q1. arrivia team flaky on scheduling. Caleb forecasting best-case, not commit. Core use case: custom AI experimentation agent (Microsoft Clarity + data warehouse → auto-construct experiments). Agreed to broaden demo to full experimentation lifecycle. ROI: eliminates need to hire experimentation staff. Full deal $175K ($197K to customer), CRM shows $70K Opal component only. Upsell potential to Advanced.
Path to Close / Contracts
Discovery call with Maurvin → broadened Opal demo for leadership (Forrest + Ganesh) → vendor selection. Caleb copying Ganesh to apply top-down pressure. Existing MSA = faster contracting vs. new Statsig deal. Must get Forrest/Ganesh on demo or deal won't close Q1.
EB: Distributed. Ganesh (CPTO), Forrest (decision maker), Jared Kimball (SVP, exp budget).
Champ: Weak. Maurvin "struggles to get priority internally."
Metrics: Cost avoidance on experimentation headcount. Traffic aggregation across brands.
Compete: Statsig only. Opal AI agent is category differentiator they can't match.
Risks
Next Steps This Week
  1. Schedule discovery call with Maurvin — Caleb (Tue/Wed)
  2. Investigate Opal heat map integration — Conor
  3. Get Conor + James on next call — Caleb
  4. Apply leadership pressure for Forrest + Ganesh on demo — Caleb
Ask: Heat map integration answer from Opal product. Forrest/Ganesh on demo or this doesn't close Q1.
BECU POV $90K · Mar 27
Dan owns FC update
Pipeline
Salesforce Opal 2026
Pipeline POC TBD · Close: early Mar (shifted for vacations)
Delta since last FC
Corrected: Salesforce has not gone silent. Team has created an exec readout that is very promising for a notable purchase. Scheduling the readout for the week after next due to vacations. EB likely Barry Cusumano with exact exec connections up to the CMO. Pilot progress is on track (Nol testing workflow agents + scheduler).
Path to Close / Contracts
Exec readout (week of Mar 2) → FY27 budget request. Readout content is very promising. Exec connections confirmed up to CMO. Timing is the only constraint — vacation schedules pushing readout by one week.
EB: Likely Barry Cusumano. Exact exec connections up to the CMO confirmed.
Champ: Brandon Brackett — engaged, driving exec readout assembly.
Metrics: 120 experiments FY26 (2x goal). Sole developer (Nol) after RIF.
Compete: None. AgentForce exists but seen as different.
Risks
Next Steps This Week
  1. Confirm exec readout scheduling for week of Mar 2 — Conor + Brandon
  2. Confirm Slack Connect access for James — Conor
Ask: None — readout is assembled and promising. Timing is the only variable.

Forecast Health Check

No client contact 14+ days
Salesforce (32d), Dell (34d)
Closing within 10 days
Rocket (Feb 27, Dan), Enverus (Feb 27, Dan)
Closing within 18 days
Federated Hermes (Mar 6) — packaging blocker
Missing Economic Buyer
Salesforce
Weak / No Champion
Arrivia (Maurvin), Salesforce (Brandon silent)
No Next Step This Week
Dell (contingent on Matt intro)
Critical Blockers This Week
Fed Hermes: legacy → Advanced tier packaging
Travelers: FDE classification + vendor approval push
Logitech: bucketing persistence (15-30 min fix blocked)
Arrivia: heat map integration answer from product